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2024-12-14 01:22:21

Analysis: The initial application data in the United States unexpectedly rose, and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly rose last week. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits continued to increase at the end of November compared with the beginning of the year, due to the cooling of labor demand. The US Department of Labor announced on Thursday that as of the week of December 7, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 to 242,000 after seasonal adjustment. Economists had expected that the number of initial jobless claims last week was only 220,000. The jump in initial jobless claims last week may reflect the fluctuation after the Thanksgiving holiday, but it may not mark a sudden change in the job market. The number of initial jobless claims may still fluctuate in the next few weeks, which may make it difficult to understand the job market clearly.After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Analysts commented on the ECB's interest rate cut, and Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the restrictive hawkish tendency in the ECB's policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands, said that the European Central Bank decided to play it safe today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future. Analyst Randow said that the change in the wording of the European Central Bank indicates that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next. Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, said that the euro fell to a new low because the European Central Bank gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is completely dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.


US President-elect Trump: Will do some great things in the field of cryptocurrency. Electricity will be needed.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Labor cost growth will slow down.Trump: For me, the stock market is everything and very important.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: National elections have also led to their own uncertainties.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange rose 1.2% to 23,170.25 points.The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.

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